Research
The model behind every lot price.
Lot prices and builder rankings are downstream of one engine: a transparent, federally-sourced housing forecast model. Everything that engine reads, every coefficient it fits, and every error it makes — published, here.
Model
The model card
One-page summary: equation, inputs, live coefficients, latest accuracy.
Methodology
End-to-end pipeline: data ingestion, feature engineering, fit, validation, publication.
Whitepaper
Full technical spec with features, training protocol, accuracy metrics, reproducibility.
Performance
Out-of-sample MAE and skill-score against AR(1) and trailing-mean baselines.
Data
Markets & forecasts
Browse all markets
All 410 US metros with current forecast, signal, and risk score.
Compare markets
Side-by-side comparison across forecast, fundamentals, and risk.
Outlook notes
Editorial commentary on what the model is reading market by market.
Research notes
Long-form analysis on trends, anomalies, and methodology updates.